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Weekend Anxiety

Memorial Day Edition. Markets are closed today. The macro drama, unfortunately, is still fully employed… and will set the tone when trading resumes on Tuesday. Three stories quietly developed over the long weekend — and together they explain almost everything investors are suddenly nervous about heading into June: → oil→ inflation→ bond yields Which, increasingly, are all becoming the same story. The story ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* ‘I Just Flew Over Elon Musk’s Next Big Venture’ A former consultant to the Pentagon was able to enter the airspace near one...

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Bullish Vibes… Again (Season Two)

Eight Weeks. No Breaks. The S&P 500 just posted eight straight winning weeks — its longest streak since 2023. It is up 9.17% year-to-date and has stayed above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since April. The Nasdaq 100 joined the rally. And crucially — it wasn’t just the big tech names dragging it higher. The Russell 2000 joined too. That part matters. Because when small caps start participating alongside mega-cap tech, the rally starts looking less like hype… Even after everything markets absorbed lately:→ rising Treasury yields→ geopolitical tension→ a US credit...

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New IPO On The Horizon

OpenAI is going public. The numbers are extraordinary. A confidential SEC filing is coming as soon as tomorrow – Friday. September is the target. Here is everything you need to understand before the roadshow starts. The story ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* Elon’s $480 Trillion Currency MasterplanHe’s waited 27 years for this moment. Elon Musk just launched his biggest disruption ever, which could totally reset how millions of people access their money and even pay tax. Here’s exactly what to buy to profit.  Burning Cash. Printing Hype. OpenAI...

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Too Big To Surprise

Nvidia is the world’s most valuable company, up 21% this year and 74% over the past 12 months. And it just reported its 15th consecutive revenue beat. → $81.6 billion in revenue. → $91 billion Q2 guidance. → A 25x dividend increase. Here is everything you need to understand about what just happened. Here’s the story ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by Stansberry* 161 Million Americans Have No Idea What’s Coming Right now, the largest wealth transfer in history is being set in motion…By an invisible mechanism forcing money into the AI trade… every single day. When...

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Day 80…

80 Days… The stock market recovered from the Iran war. The bond market never did. A huge disconnect… While investors spent the last two months celebrating AI earnings, record highs, and resilient consumers… something much less exciting has been quietly breaking in the background: The cost of money itself. Today, the 30-year Treasury yield crossed 5.2% for the first time since 2007. That may sound like a boring bond-market statistic. It isn’t. Because when long-term yields move this fast, they eventually start dragging everything else with them:→ mortgages→ stock valuations→ credit...

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The First Post-Buffett Shock

The New Era. For decades, Berkshire Hathaway was one of the few things investors felt they understood. Warren Buffett bought businesses with durable advantages, held them forever, ignored the noise, and let compounding do the heavy lifting. The playbook rarely changed. Now the person holding that playbook is gone. And this morning, Greg Abel gave the market its first real glimpse of what Berkshire Hathaway might look like without Warren Buffett calling the shots. The result? → UnitedHealth is out.→ Amazon is out.→ Mastercard and Visa are out.→ Delta and Macy’s are in. And suddenly, Berkshire...

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Who Wins When SpaceX Goes Public?

Retail investors are waiting for SpaceX. Wall Street isn’t. Because before the biggest IPO in years even files publicly, money is already flowing into the companies orbiting around it. → Rocket builders.→ Satellite operators.→ Signal intelligence firms.→ Space infrastructure plays. Some are doubling revenue.Most are still building before the profits arrive.All of them are racing to establish their niche in the space economy before SpaceX hits public markets. The race already started. Here’s the story ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by BrownstoneResearch* While the whole world is watching Elon,...

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One ship. One virus. Six stocks. 72 hours.

The Headline That Lit The Match Earlier this month, passengers aboard the MV Hondius started getting sick while crossing the Atlantic. Health officials later identified suspected cases tied to the Andes strain of hantavirus. A few deaths were reported. Two Americans were transported in biocontainment units. The setup looked familiar. COVID permanently rewired how markets react to health scares. Back in 2020, the biggest money was made when vaccine names started ripping before the rest of Wall Street fully understood what was happening. So now, every time a virus story hits the tape, traders...

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Not SpaceX

The Trade Before the Trade Everyone is staring at the menu waiting for SpaceX. But while you were deciding what to order, the appetizer just arrived — and it jumped 30% on the first day.  HawkEye 360 raised $416 million, priced at the top of its range, and immediately traded higher. Not a household name and not a massive revenue story. But a very clean signal. Today we talk about HawkEye 360… and tomorrow we talk about the main course. Here’s the story ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by BrownstoneResearch* Larry Benedict generated $274 million for his clients by finding the trade most missed.He...

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This IPO Runs on Coffee

The Habit… Most people don’t think about capital markets at 7:30 in the morning. They’re thinking about coffee — how fast they can get it, whether the line is moving, if their usual order is already waiting. What feels like a routine… is actually one of the most efficient cash-flow machines in America. And now, it’s heading back to Wall Street. Dunkin’ is preparing to go public again — this time inside a private equity-built restaurant portfolio that looks a lot bigger than it actually is. On paper, it’s diversification. In reality, it’s something else. Here’s the story ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK...

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AI… or Just a Better Story?

… just add AI. Almost every single earnings call last week mentioned AI. Not once or as a footnote… but as the whole thesis. → DoorDash: AI will know what you want for dinner before you do. → CrowdStrike: AI will catch your hacker before they know they’ve been caught.→ McDonald’s: AI is how we’re going to personalize your value meal. → Burger King: AI is how we’re going to fix the soda machine experience. At some point you have to ask — is this a technology revolution or is “AI” just the new way to say “we have a plan” on an earnings call? Let’s...

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All About The SpaceX IPO

This IPO Breaks Every Rule The fine print on the SpaceX IPO is extraordinary. → You can’t sue. → You can’t vote. → You can’t fire Musk. The only person who can fire Musk is Musk. And yet the line to get in stretches around the block. SpaceX is expected to be the biggest IPO in history:→ $75 billion in proceeds, → a $1.75 trillion valuation, and → an unusually generous 30% allocation for retail investors. That last part almost never happens at this scale. Musk is letting everyday investors in early, which sounds generous until you read what you’re actually agreeing...

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The $5 Meal Economy 🍔

Same Menu… Different Reality Four burger chains reported earnings this week. → One is on the best run in years. → One is quietly bleeding out. → One just went up in smoke. → And one is promising it’ll be fine by Christmas. Welcome to the fast food earnings wars — where your lunch order is somebody’s stock price, the soda machine is a political statement, and a CEO eating a burger on camera can move markets more than a Fed announcement. Here’s the story ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by BanyanHill* The REAL Reason Trump Is Invading IranFor a moment… Forget about Trump’s ties...

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Nobody Had These On Their Bingo Card đź‘€

The Market Finally Caught Up In 2001, Corning was dying. The internet bubble had just burst, and demand for fiber optic cables — Corning’s entire business — collapsed almost overnight.  Revenue fell 70% in a single year.The stock dropped 99% from its peak.Employees were laid off by the thousands. The company that had been making specialty glass since 1851 was suddenly fighting for its life. The painful irony? Corning was not failing because fiber optics was a bad idea. It was failing because the world was not ready for it yet. The infrastructure was being built decades too early —...

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Applause (Not Included)

When winning is not enough Imagine you ran a marathon, finished in the top 1%, broke your personal record by 20 minutes, and crossed the finish line to find the crowd booing.  That is roughly what happened to Palantir this week — a company that posted: → 85% revenue growth, → 150% earnings growth, → raised its full-year guidance, and → closed 206 deals worth at least $1 million each in a single quarter, only to watch its stock slide 7% as investors shrugged and moved on. So what went wrong? To answer that, you have to understand what the market is quietly doing to software companies right...

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