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Author: Tanya

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r You Kidding Me?

Can We Grow Out of This? Imagine you’re in charge of America’s money. Now What? You just became U.S. Treasury Secretary. The Fed isn’t lowering rates for you. The government spends more than it collects, debt keeps growing, and borrowing is expensive. Your job: make the math work. So, what do you do? Raise taxes? Cut spending? Change how the government borrows? Hope inflation cools? Or simply wait …? There are plenty of levers to pull. But underneath almost all of them sits one surprisingly simple piece of math. So, let’s see .⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by Brownstone* Trump Takes on Foreign...

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Tanya on .

r You Kidding Me?

Can We Grow Out of This? Imagine you’re in charge of America’s money. Now What? You just became U.S. Treasury Secretary. The Fed isn’t lowering rates for you. The government spends more than it collects, debt keeps growing, and borrowing is expensive. Your job: make the math work. So, what do you do? Raise taxes? Cut spending? Change how the government borrows? Hope inflation cools? Or simply wait …? There are plenty of levers to pull. But underneath almost all of them sits one surprisingly simple piece of math. So, let’s see .⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by Brownstone* Trump Takes on Foreign...

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Oh Boy… Who Just Made Money On AI Fear?

A Very Good Monday… Well, That Was An Interesting Monday. AI spent the weekend talking about the dangers of AI. By Monday morning, Wall Street had apparently picked a side. → CrowdStrike jumped 15%. → Palo Alto Networks gained 11%. → Okta climbed nearly 10%. Meanwhile, → Nvidia fell 3%, while → SanDisk dropped 5% in premarket trading. The catalyst came over the weekend, when the CEOs of Anthropic and OpenAI separately raised concerns about AI development moving faster than the safeguards around it. That produced a rather unusual market reaction. Investors sold some of the companies helping...

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Why Is Gold Ignoring 5%?

Gold vs. 5%… Gold has had quite the run. The metal is hovering around $4,400 an ounce, while the 10-year Treasury yield came within a whisker of 5% this week. Put those two numbers next to each other and things get interesting. Historically, higher yields have tended to make life harder for gold. Not every time, and certainly not in a straight line — but the relationship has been one of the more useful ways to understand the metal. Right now? Gold doesn’t seem particularly bothered. So we went looking for what else might be keeping it up. The trail leads from interest rates… to central...

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Tanya on .

Why Is Gold Ignoring 5%?

Gold vs. 5%… Gold has had quite the run. The metal is hovering around $4,400 an ounce, while the 10-year Treasury yield came within a whisker of 5% this week. Put those two numbers next to each other and things get interesting. Historically, higher yields have tended to make life harder for gold. Not every time, and certainly not in a straight line — but the relationship has been one of the more useful ways to understand the metal. Right now? Gold doesn’t seem particularly bothered. So we went looking for what else might be keeping it up. The trail leads from interest rates… to central...

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Could This Bond Beat 3.4% Inflation?

A Small Win From Inflation? ✱ This is an explainer, not a recommendation — here’s the mechanism, the math, and the real tradeoffs… Hot inflation doesn’t leave many winners. Prices rise, purchasing power shrinks, and suddenly the same grocery cart costs a little more. But there is one rather unusual exception. I Bonds. These U.S. government savings bonds are built to move with inflation — which makes this week’s 3.4% CPI reading particularly interesting. While most savers would prefer inflation to head in the opposite direction, higher inflation can eventually mean a higher rate on...

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Musk Had A “Boring” Company, E-I-E-I-O…

Four Years Later… Elon Musk has Tesla. SpaceX. xAI. And then there’s The Boring Company. The less-famous member of the Musk collection has spent the past few years digging tunnels beneath Las Vegas. This week, it made considerably more noise above ground. The company raised $3 billion in a new Series D, giving it a $23 billion valuation— roughly four times what it was worth in 2022. Let’s see what $23 billion is betting on.⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by DealMaker* The Brains Behind Colombia’s Iconic Coffee Two entrepreneurs from Wall Street came to Colombia, and discovered a coffee sector...

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Could SpaceX 5x $5K?

Pretty, Pretty Bullish… A new $220 price target is bullish. The five-year math gets considerably more ambitious. SpaceX got another vote of confidence from Wall Street this week. Pivotal Research slapped a $220 price target on the stock — roughly 50% above where shares had been trading. Pretty bullish. Then we stretched the timeline to 2031. That’s where the numbers start to spread out — a lot. Depending on how fast SpaceX grows — and what investors are willing to pay for that growth — the five-year picture can look remarkably different. So, we ran the numbers. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented...

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So… Who’s About To Buy $15.5B Of SpaceX?

The Most Expensive 1%. SpaceX has spent the past month doing very little. Shares have bounced between $133 and $150, with no major catalyst pushing them decisively in either direction. But on September 21, that could change. JPMorgan thinks SpaceX could suddenly find itself on the receiving end of roughly $15.5 billion in buying. And the reason has surprisingly little to do with the company’s business at all. It starts with 1%… and $15.5 billion in passive buying. So, let’s see where all that money is coming from. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by BanyanHill* What’s Inside Elon Musk’s...

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Tanya on .

So… Who’s About To Buy $15.5B Of SpaceX?

The Most Expensive 1%. SpaceX has spent the past month doing very little. Shares have bounced between $133 and $150, with no major catalyst pushing them decisively in either direction. But on September 21, that could change. JPMorgan thinks SpaceX could suddenly find itself on the receiving end of roughly $15.5 billion in buying. And the reason has surprisingly little to do with the company’s business at all. It starts with 1%… and $15.5 billion in passive buying. So, let’s see where all that money is coming from. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by BanyanHill* What’s Inside Elon Musk’s...

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