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Author: Tanya

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Wait… An Embargo Can Lower Rates? ↓

A Rate-Cut Catch-22. Friday morning gave the Fed another reason not to cut rates. The U.S. added 162,000 jobs in August, nearly three times what economists expected, unemployment held at 4.1%, and traders quickly pushed the odds of another rate hike higher. Then, a few hours later, came a rather different idea for getting rates lower. A trade embargo. President Trump threatened to stop trading with countries where the U.S. runs a trade deficit if interest rates don’t come down — describing the move as potentially more powerful than tariffs. Which raises a pretty unusual economics question: Could...

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Bulls, You Up?… Gold Just Hit The Level

This story starts at $4,373… Gold has had quite the run this year. But this week, it was the pullback that caught traders’ attention. After rallying from $4,048.70 in July to $4,755 in August, gold futures started giving some of it back. And apparently, half was enough. Gold fell to $4,369.70 before buyers stepped in. The level traders were watching? $4,373.30 — the 50% retracement of that July-to-August rally. Which got us wondering: Why does halfway matter so much to traders? Especially when gold has now turned there twice. So, we took a look.⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by DealMaker* An...

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Bulls, You Up?… Gold Just Hit The Level

This story starts at $4,373… Gold has had quite the run this year. But this week, it was the pullback that caught traders’ attention. After rallying from $4,048.70 in July to $4,755 in August, gold futures started giving some of it back. And apparently, half was enough. Gold fell to $4,369.70 before buyers stepped in. The level traders were watching? $4,373.30 — the 50% retracement of that July-to-August rally. Which got us wondering: Why does halfway matter so much to traders? Especially when gold has now turned there twice. So, we took a look.⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by DealMaker* An...

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Psst… Druckenmiller’s Full Q2 Portfolio ↓

Out With The Old. Stanley Druckenmiller has never been particularly sentimental about stocks. His latest 13F is a pretty good reminder. The legendary investor spent Q2 reshuffling his portfolio — opening dozens of new positions, walking away from nearly two dozen others, and making some surprisingly big changes along the way. For someone who averaged roughly 30% a year over three decades without a losing year, it’s a lot of changing his mind in three months. And buried inside all that buying and selling is a pretty interesting picture of where Druckenmiller sees opportunity now. So, we went...

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Psst… Druckenmiller’s Full Q2 Portfolio ↓

Out With The Old. Stanley Druckenmiller has never been particularly sentimental about stocks. His latest 13F is a pretty good reminder. The legendary investor spent Q2 reshuffling his portfolio — opening dozens of new positions, walking away from nearly two dozen others, and making some surprisingly big changes along the way. For someone who averaged roughly 30% a year over three decades without a losing year, it’s a lot of changing his mind in three months. And buried inside all that buying and selling is a pretty interesting picture of where Druckenmiller sees opportunity now. So, we went...

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Buffett’s 400 Acres 🌱

The Farm of Omaha. Of all the investments Warren Buffett could use to explain investing, he picked two rather ordinary ones. A 400-acre farm in Nebraska. And a retail property next to NYU. Neither was a stock. Neither required some brilliant new technology or complicated financial model. Yet Buffett said both should remain “solid and satisfactory” investments not only for his lifetime, but for his children and grandchildren — with income that would probably keep growing for decades. That’s quite a vote of confidence from a man with a fairly decent investing résumé. So what made these two...

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The Big Short, Again…

Heads Burry Wins. Tails? Michael Burry is short Nvidia. But days before earnings, he did something that seems to point in the exact opposite direction. He bought Nvidia calls. Then he made things even more confusing by describing the stock as “wildly undervalued.” Which got us wondering: How can you think Nvidia is undervalued, bet on it going up — and still be short the stock? The obvious answer would be that Burry changed his mind. He didn’t. In fact, the calls only make sense because of the much bigger bet sitting on the other side. And Burry himself described what came next as essentially...

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The Big Short, Again…

Heads Burry Wins. Tails? Michael Burry is short Nvidia. But days before earnings, he did something that seems to point in the exact opposite direction. He bought Nvidia calls. Then he made things even more confusing by describing the stock as “wildly undervalued.” Which got us wondering: How can you think Nvidia is undervalued, bet on it going up — and still be short the stock? The obvious answer would be that Burry changed his mind. He didn’t. In fact, the calls only make sense because of the much bigger bet sitting on the other side. And Burry himself described what came next as essentially...

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Cathie Wood Bought $17 Million of This AI Stock

Wood You Buy The Dip? Cerebras has had a rough week. The AI chipmaker fell for six straight trading sessions — including a 12.7% drop on the same day it unveiled its latest technology. Cathie Wood apparently saw a different chart. Her Ark Invest funds bought $17.2 million worth of Cerebras, just one week after making another purchase. Wood, of course, has made a career out of betting early — and often aggressively — on technologies she thinks could reshape entire industries. → And Cerebras certainly fits the description. It makes enormous AI chips designed to compete with the GPU systems...

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What Happens When $NVDA Is Just… Good?

$100B Quarter… → Nvidia beat revenue estimates. → Beat profit estimates. And could be heading for its first $100 billion quarter. Great news for Nvidia. But apparently, also for everyone else. Nvidia now sits in the middle of an AI spending chain that stretches from memory chips and data centers to electricity, cloud computing and Big Tech’s enormous capex budgets. Which got us wondering: How did one company’s quarter become everyone else’s business? Here’s where Nvidia got so important.⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by DealMaker* Ends Tonight: The ‘Nvidia of Energy’ Has a $2.1T Opportunity Nvidia’s...

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