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Author: Tanya

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First Red Day.

How We Got Here Three days. That is how long the streak lasted. → Friday +19%. → Monday +35%. → Tuesday +48%, briefly topping Microsoft and Amazon, closing within striking distance of becoming the fifth largest company on Earth. Wednesday it ended. SpaceX fell 4.95% — the first red day since the IPO. Closed at $191.82, down from Tuesday’s $201.68. Slipped back below Amazon. Back to sixth place. Here is the story. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* Why SpaceX Just Triggered the End of the Bull Market SpaceX insiders are getting ready to dump as much as $1.6 trillion in paper...

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Goodbye Mag 7.

The New Cast… The Magnificent Seven had a good run. → Seven years.→ Seven stocks. One acronym that came to define an era of market dominance. Then SpaceX went public. And by Tuesday morning, Wall Street was already looking for a new name. Two new frameworks emerged this week to describe the companies that will define the next decade of tech investing. They do not agree on the name, the number, or who gets the last spot. They do agree on one thing: the Mag 7 era is over. Here is what moved — and why. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* Why SpaceX Just Triggered the End of the Bull...

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Let The Oil Flow.

Sunday night, President Trump posted: “Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow.“ The post followed news that the U.S. and Iran had reached an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — the narrow waterway that carries roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply. → Oil fell.→ Travel stocks surged.→ Nasdaq futures jumped 2%. → Energy stocks sold off.→ And SpaceX kept climbing — up another 8-10% Monday, now 25% above its Friday IPO price. Here is what moved — and why. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* REVEALED: Trump’s Gift to Patriots on America’s...

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Let The Oil Flow.

Sunday night, President Trump posted: “Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow.“ The post followed news that the U.S. and Iran had reached an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — the narrow waterway that carries roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply. → Oil fell.→ Travel stocks surged.→ Nasdaq futures jumped 2%. → Energy stocks sold off.→ And SpaceX kept climbing — up another 8-10% Monday, now 25% above its Friday IPO price. Here is what moved — and why. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* REVEALED: Trump’s Gift to Patriots on America’s...

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3 Things.

It was electric and genuinely historic. It was the biggest opening in exchange history. $75 billion raised. Friday morning $SPCX ( â–˛ 19.22% ) opened at $150 — an 11% pop from the IPO price. By end of day it closed at roughly $160.88 — up 19.22% from the $135 price. No $1,000 open like Tuchman predicted. Just a solid first day. At the same time — the exact same morning:Every stock that had been running up in anticipation of SpaceX’s IPO collapsed. Investors who had been holding space proxies because they could not buy SpaceX directly sold those proxies the moment SPCX was available...

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A Really Good Cappuccino At Starbucks.

Everybody Wants Tomorrow. Peter Tuchman has traded on the NYSE floor for 30 years. He moves up to $1 billion a day. He has seen IPO frenzies. He has seen bubbles. He has seen falling knives. On Wednesday he sat down to talk about SpaceX — and delivered the most honest pre-IPO analysis of the week in two sentences. 1 “It’s going to come out at $135. I would bet it opens at a thousand — just because there’s such a limited supply. So many people want it. It is the flavor of the freaking moment.” 2 “A 100 times earnings to come out is a little bit frothy at best...

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Good News. Bad News. SpaceX Friday

A Lot Happened Wednesday. Four stories landed Wednesday. None of them were small. 1 CPI came in hot on the headline. Cooler under the surface.2 Bank of America said 70% of its bear market signals are flashing.3 Goldman says parts of the market are now more expensive than the dot-com peak.4 Crypto is bleeding. And SpaceX prices on Friday. So yes. A lot is happening. Here’s the story. ⇩ SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* Elon Musk Warns We May Have Just Six Months Left “Frontier AI” is a point of no return when AI surpasses human intelligence and gains free will....

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2028… On Purpose.

No sugar coating… SpaceX is oversubscribed. OpenAI filed its S-1 Monday afternoon. Anthropic filed a week ago. Everyone in AI is racing to the public markets like there is a fire sale and the doors close Friday. Everyone except Perplexity. While Sam Altman was announcing his third phase and Dario Amodei was quietly letting his filing speak for itself, Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas went on CNBC and said the thing everyone is thinking but nobody wants to say out loud. “The SpaceX IPO this week will definitely be a leading indicator of how Anthropic or OpenAI will go out. I certainly...

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The Countdown Begins

Oversubscribed… Orders Close Wednesday. SpaceX goes public in four days. And most of the conversation this week will be about the $135 IPO price, the $1.8 trillion valuation, the 555 million shares, and the $75 billion raise. But SpaceX’s IPO is well oversubscribed.  Demand from institutional investors has already exceeded the number of shares available — and the order books do not even close until Wednesday at 4pm ET. Here is what oversubscribed actually means, why this IPO is oversubscribed specifically, and what happens because of it on Friday. Here’s the story. ⇩ SPONSOR...

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Plenty of Money… Right?

The AI IPO wave is about to begin. SpaceX is expected to hit public markets first. OpenAI appears to be next. Anthropic is expected to follow shortly after. At first glance, that may not sound important. But on Wall Street, timing matters. Investors don’t have unlimited cash sitting on the sidelines waiting for every opportunity. When a major IPO arrives, many investors sell existing positions, rebalance portfolios, and move money around to make room for the new investment. That creates an interesting situation. The first company gets access to the freshest capital. The second gets...

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