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In every game, there are two ways to watch.

1 You can watch the highlights.

or

2 You can watch the scoreboard.

Highlights are exciting. Big plays. Big numbers. Big moments.

The scoreboard is quieter.

It only asks one question: Is the lead getting bigger?

Tonight, markets are watching Nvidia’s highlights.

But they’re also watching the scoreboard.

Here’s the story ⇩

For most of the last year, markets have revolved around one axis:

AI.

70% of S&P 500 companies are talking about it on earnings calls.

Only 1% are quantifying how it actually improves profits.

That gap is important. Because when narratives get louder than numbers, capital starts looking for something sturdier.

Enter: HALO.

Not the AI basket. The opposite.

Hard Assets. Low Obsolescence.

→ Railroads.
→ Fertilizers.
→ Oil rigs.
→ Physical infrastructure.

Companies like:

• Union Pacific
• Nutrien
• Exxon Mobil

Assets AI may optimize — but never replace.

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1 Union Pacific UNP ( ▼ 0.9% )  

Founded in 1862. Survived depressions, wars, recessions, pandemics.

Expected earnings growth:
→ ~6.9% in 2026
→ ~7.5% in 2027

Shares:
→ +15% YTD
→ Near 5-year highs

Valuation:
→ Forward P/E ~21
→ Dividend yield ~2.1%

This isn’t hypergrowth. It’s cash flow with durability.

AI may improve logistics efficiency. But It won’t replace 32,000 miles of rail.

2 C.H. Robinson Worldwide CHRW ( ▼ 0.81% )  

Freight and trucking intermediary.

After a tough freight cycle, earnings are expected to jump:

→ ~15.9% in 2026
→ ~15.9% in 2027

Shares:
→ +76% over the past year
→ Near 5-year highs

Valuation:
→ Forward P/E ~30
→ Dividend yield ~1.4%

This is cyclical recovery + asset backbone.

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3 Nutrien NTR ( ▼ 0.32% )  

One of the world’s largest fertilizer producers.

Earnings estimates have been revised higher.:
→ +5.3% expected growth in 2026
→ Recent upward estimate revisions

Shares:
→ +39% over the past year
→ 3-year highs

Valuation:
→ Forward P/E ~15
→ Dividend yield ~3%

AI can model crop yields. But nitrogen, potash, and phosphate still come from mines.

4 Lear Corporation LEA ( ▼ 0.38% )  

Automotive seating and electrical systems supplier.

After two tough years, earnings are expected to rebound:

Earnings:
→ +11.2% in 2026
→ +17.8% in 2027

Shares:
→ +38% over the past year
→ +13% YTD

Valuation:
→ Forward P/E ~9
→ Dividend yield ~2.3%

This is deep value territory.

Even in autonomous vehicles, someone still builds the interior.

5 Exxon Mobil XOM ( ▼ 0.13% )

One of the largest integrated energy producers globally.

Shares are at all-time highs — even though earnings are projected to:
→ Declines projected through 2026
→ Rebound forecast in 2027 (~+21.8%)

Shares:
→ +21.7% YTD
→ At new all-time highs

Valuation:
→ Forward P/E ~22
→ PEG ~15.6
→ Dividend yield ~2.7%

Energy is cash return + asset control. And … AI infrastructure doesn’t run without power.

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These aren’t hyper-growth names.

They’re cash-flow businesses with tangible assets and dividend support.

And many are breaking to multi-year or all-time highs.

That suggests something subtle:

While the market waits for AI to prove broad earnings leverage, capital is diversifying into durability.

Not abandoning innovation but balancing it.

And then Nvidia reported.

→ Revenue: $68.1B vs $65.8B expected.
→ EPS: $1.62 vs $1.53 expected.
→ Data center: $62.3B vs $60.2B expected.

→ Q1 outlook: $76.4–79.5B, well above the $72.8B estimate.

That’s expansion.

– Compute revenue rose 58% year-over-year.
– Networking surged 263%.

Hyperscalers still represent just over 50% of data center revenue — but growth diversified beyond them.

Even with this beat, one fact remains:

70% of companies talk about AI. Only 1% quantify earnings impact.

Nvidia is monetizing the buildout. The broader market is still proving it.

That’s why durability trades exist.

Not as a rejection of AI.

But as a hedge against narrative concentration.

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